Nys energy efficiency fatal flaw rev inconvenient truths. Wear a mask, social distance and stay up to date on new york states vaccination program. The seven sections of this load and capacity data report gold book. Energy and peak forecasts are provided through 2050 by nyiso load zone. The btm solar pv forecast is discretely modeled with an hourly profile by zone, and the shapes. Nyiso data on generators getting paid in a given interval, but data was insufficient nyiso gold book data on marginal fuel, but data was not temporally granular best available short. Further, the new york independent system operator nyiso raises concerns about. The baseline forecast includes the impact of energy efficiency programs and.
Creates relationship between a weather metric and the summer peak load for each zone using as many years of historical as possible 2. The upnyconed interface data provides the transfer capability between nyisos southern zones h through k and zone g, while the isone interface data provides power flow between isone and zone g. The information reported in this document is current as of march 15, 20 20 unless otherwise noted. If a customer is a nyseg electricity customer, the customers location based on the electrical connection relative to the nyiso pricing zone used by nyseg in determining the supply price if. Oct 14, 2011 nyiso gold book, which contains forecasts of peak demand as well as a. Nyiso zone g contracts, is properly addressed in the terms and conditions established by ifus for such contracts. Resource adequacy and installed capacity requirements in new. Th e baseline peak load forecast represents an annual average g rowth rate of 0. Table 22 details the amounts of energy efficiency ee, behindthemeter btm solar pv, and btm distributed generation represented in the baseline forecast at the time of summer peak demand. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20152025. Planning for a grid in transition danskammer energy. The nyiso employs a multistage process in developing load forecasts for each of the eleven zones within the nyca. In early december, the 2009 rna database was revised to include a new load forecast. Figure 2 details the amounts of energy efficiency and codes and standards.
Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20192029. Relates the same weather metric with the daily peak load historical data. New york gowanus gas turbines 32 17 mw turbines 544. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20202030. This new load forecast began with the 2009 gold book and was modified. Albany lfge f in service 07122019 09202019 9182019 per the nyisos generator. The nyiso employs a twostage process in developing load forecasts for each of the 11 zones within the. The following slides are an overview of the new york control area. Energy and peak forecasts are provided through 2050 by nyiso load zone referenced in the rest of this document as zone and for the new york control area nyca. Inferring marginal generator and fuel type from nyiso data on marginal emissions. In the first stage, energy and peak models are baseline built based on projections of enduse intensities c variables. As ny moves to a zeroemission grid by 2040, energy storage plays a critical role. Capacity surplus, including 2012 gold book proposed additions and retirements source. Powergem used a full, detailed nyiso base transmission model with all approved.
The seven sections of this load and capacity datareport gold book address the following topics. The nyiso has posted its final 2018 gold book, which includes demand forecasts for nyiso overall and each zone within the state. These deficiencies primarily in the new york city area are primarily driven by expected. The competition in the energy grid desired by the public interest is for clean.
Historic and forecast peak demand, energy usage, and energy efficiency. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20142024. The 2010 energy forecast for zone k long island is growing at an. The seven sections of this load and capacity data report gold book address the following topics. Would distinguish between private ipp, iou and public nypa, lipa, municipal facilities power plant inventory. Ebook the power of new yorks wholesale electricity markets video how the new york iso powers new. According to the gold book see the diagram below baseline equals expected, and it projects a transition from a ny statewide summer peak to a winter peak around 2039. Rate impact on lipa resident and commercial customers of. Impact of carbon pricing on potential expanded buyerside. Data sources load forecast nyiso the major source of base cases used in modeling load flow fault duty stability. Public service commission archives we are seneca lake. This is a list of electricitygenerating power stations in new york, sorted by type and name. A through f in nyiso into zone g and power from pjm into nyiso, including zone g.
The high load forecast is the econometric forecast. Indian point energy center nuclear plant retirement analysis. The 2014 energy forecast for new york city zone j is growing at an. The nyisos baseline forecast includes the impacts of energy. Draft version 2014 nyiso gold book wny peace center. Clean, reliable energy for ny danskammer energy project. In the past, load forecasts displayed steady growth over time, assuming growing populations and demand for electric appliances and devices. Projected change in co2 emissions by region with the project thousands. Nyiso 2019 90th percentile baseline coincident peak, table i7a. Nyiso 2016 gold book, nyiso class year 2015 materials, icf calculations demand curve bullish as well by 2021, the lhv demand curve is projected to be 34% higher and steeper than 2016, due to the outcome of the latest demand curve reset, projected increases in the net cost of new entry net cone, and modest load growth. Competitive analysis, marketing mix and traffic alexa. This report presents the new york independent system operator, inc. Energy and peak forecasts are provided through 2039 on a zonal basis, and through 2049 on a system basis.
Based on average location marginal price cost savings per icf modeling for a10 based on projected energy consumption by zone as projected by nyiso in the 2019 gold book for 2024. Based on projected energy consumption by zone as projected by nyiso in the 2019 gold book for. The models for this assessment were developed from the nyiso 2016 reliability needs assessment representation of year 2022 transmission and generation resources were modified based on dpsnyserda inputs see next page to approximate year 2030 summer peak and summer light load conditions load forecast based on 2016 gold book. A more complete list can be found on the nyiso website in the planning data and reference docs section where an annual report call the load and capacity data report, or the gold book is listed. The information reported in this document is current as of march 15, 2019 unless otherwise noted. The information reported in this document is current as of march 15th, 2017 unless otherwise noted. May 16, 2019 in april, the new york independent system operator nyiso released its annual gold book, which provides longterm forecasts for electric load and generation capacity. Energy and peak forecasts are provided through 2038. Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20172027. Estimated ratepayer savings danskammer energy, llc. Nyisos hudson valley zone zone g, and replace it with a maximum 600 net megawatt mw combinedcycle gas turbine plant.
Marketwide demand based on the peak load forecast presented in the nyiso 2019 gold book,15 with demand for constrained zones based on the peak load. Table 81 below summarizes the key assumptions for this study. Covid19 is still spreading, even as the vaccine is here. Pending psc approval per the nyisos generator deactivation process, the earliest date on which the generator might mothball is 060120.
Nyiso load and capacity data for the years 20182028. The nyiso has posted its final 2018 gold book, which includes demand forecasts for. As you would expect based on the law of supply and demand, peak electric power contracts. Over the past ten years zone ks annual energy grew, on average, at the rate of 0. Since the 20 gold book, 122 mw of summer capacity has been. Annual energy and summer and winter peak forecasts for nyca. Energy, peak demand and capacity from nyiso gold book 2020 p. Nyisos baseline forecast is reported in tables i1a and i2a. This new load forecast began with the 2009 gold book.
In 2017, the nyiso board of directors selected the nextera energy. Bob wyman has produced charts from this data that show the impact of different projected electrification scenarios in each of the 11 nyiso zones across the state. The nyiso is conducting studies to plot the most productive way. In addition to the baseline forecast, the nyiso has high and low forecasts for each zone, representing an 80% confidence interval, using the baseline forecast as the midpoint, with the high and low forecasts based on. Zones g, h and i are in the lower hudson valley pricing zone. Dec 03, 2020 nyiso gold book, public filings to nyisostate agencies, press releases, media reports, etc. Since the publication of the 2017 gold book in april 2017, there has been a. The greenidge facility is located within nyiso zone c. The installed reserve margin irm is an important part of our management of the energy grid and the electricity markets. Its a valued piece of the puzzle that makes sure we have enough resources to serve us when something unexpected happens on the grid.
Prepared by irene weiser from data contained in nyisos 2015 gold book the competition in the energy grid desired by the public interest is for clean renewable energy, not antiquated and polluting fossil fuels. Feb 25, 2021 nyiso gold book nyiso caris study nyiso demand curve study nyiso reliability needs assessment nyserda storage roadmap ny dps and nyserda clean energy standard white paper eia annual energy outlook nrel annual technology baseline nrel technical potential study lazard levelized cost of storage. In addition to the baseline forecast, the nyiso has high and low forecasts for each zone, representing an 80% confidence interval, using the baseline forecast as the midpoint, with the high and low forecasts based on extreme weather assumptions. Appendix 8a electric system production modeling report search. Environmental value of distributed energy resources in new. If a customer is a nyseg electricity customer, the customers location based on the electrical connection relative to the nyiso pricing zone used by nyseg in determining the supply price if applicable for the customers bill. Changes in existing generation since the 2019 gold book. The new york independent system operator nyiso is a notforprofit corporation that began operations in 1999. As shown in the charts below, the peak load forecast has been revised down substantially compared to the 2017 gold book forecast. Key capture energys ceo jeff bishop said those numbers are. Finally, the nyiso interconnection queue includes many additional generators that may become operational in later years, but are not accounted for yet by the nyiso for planning purposes. May 07, 2018 the table nyiso gold book coincident summer peak and winter peak average demand by zone mwaverages load data for three periods. Updates on nyisos comprehensive system planning process.
May 15, 2020 per the nyisos generator deactivation process, the earliest date on which the generator might mothball is 103119. According to nyiso, a large quantity of ondemand dispatchable resource is critical in maintaining reliability and transitioning the grid. The information reported in this document is current as of march. Get traffic statistics, seo keyword opportunities, audience insights, and competitive analytics for nyiso. The nyiso operates new yorks bulk electricity grid, administers the states wholesale electricity markets, and provides comprehensive reliability planning for states bulk electricity system. Note that there is tremendous variation across the zones. Gold books will continue to be consistent with cy ratings at time of publication. Nyiso s baseline forecast is reported in tables i1a and i2a. Key capture energys ceo jeff bishop said those numbers are just part of why he is investing in new york.
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